Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

72% chance
Vol.
$12.8M
24h
$1,133,160
Liquidity
$205,263
Ends Oct 29, 2026
Live · PolymarketPolymarket
72%chance
0%25%50%75%100%72%
Rules

Resolution

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

Closes
Oct 29, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC
Opened
Jun 18, 2026, 12:02 AM UTC
Settlement
USDC on Polygon · $1.00 per winning share
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    Live price
    $
    Price
    72¢ / share
    Shares
    138.89
    Payout if Yes (before fees)
    $138.89
    Potential return
    +39%
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    Market

    Order book & activity

    Best bid
    71¢
    Best ask
    72¢
    Spread
    1¢
    Last trade
    72¢
    24h change
    +1 pts
    24h volume
    $1,133,160
    Liquidity
    $205,263
    Status
    Open
    Closes
    Oct 29, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC
    • fed
    • fomc
    • trump
    • economy
    • fed rates
    • kevin warsh
    • Global Rates
    • economic policy